posted September 10, 2009 at 20:10 EST in NFL Props
NFL Betting Insider - Handicapping the Offensive Rookie of the Year
by Charles Jay
NFL Football Betting
To Win Associated Press Offensive Rookie of the Year
Ramses Barden, Giants +4000
-- He may get some time, because it's a wide-open competition in the Giants wide receiver corps, but we like Hakeem Nicks a little better.
Andre Brown, Giants +2500
-- It's possible that with Derrick Ward gone he'll have a role in New York, but it won't be big enough.
Kenny Britt, Titans +2000
-- He has a chance to be the #1 receiver in Tennessee at some point, but he gets cases of the dropsies too much.
Glenn Coffee, 49ers +3000
-- He is going to give Frank Gore plenty of relief, and if Gore proves fragile again, he'll get a lot of carries for an offense that insists on running the ball.
Chase Coffman, Bengals +6000
-- He is a bit of a project, but with injuries to Reggie Kelly and Ben Utecht, he will get a chance to play sooner than he anticipated.
Michael Crabtree, 49ers +600
-- He hasn't even signed a contract, and is considering sitting out the season.
Josh Freeman, Bucs +1600
-- He may eventually start this season for Tampa Bay, but he is way too raw to have a big positive impact.
Shonn Greene, Jets +1600
-- He's going to be part of a "committee" with the Jets more than likely, but he may have to share too much time to rack up significant individual numbers.
Darrius Heyward-Bay, Raiders +2000
-- He's going to get playing time, but is he polished enough to be an impact guy? Is JeMarcus Russell good enough to get the ball to him?
Juaquin Iglesias, Bears +3000
-- There would be possibilities here, since Jay Cutler would be looking for capable receivers to throw the ball to. Remember what Cutler did with Eddie Royal last year?
Cornelius Ingram, Eagles +5000
-- He may be a part-time guy at best in this offense in his rookie season.
Rashad Jennings, Jaguars +3000
-- A seventh-round pick who could eventually be Fred Taylor's replacement as Maurice Jones-Drew's running mate, though he's still battling for a backup job.
Johnny Knox, Bears +4000
-- This Abilene Christian product is fast (4.34 in the 40) and raw, but with the Bears, who are starved for receivers, he may get an opportunity.
Jeremy Maclin, Eagles +2000
-- Playing with Donovan McNabb, he can make a lot of big plays from the wide receiver spot and can make an impact on returns as well, if he can hang on to the ball.
Mohamed Massaquoi, Browns +3000
-- With this offense, I don't see him putting up any kind of significant numbers.
LeSean McCoy, Eagles +1200
-- He will get his playing time, but he won't be the go-to guy.
Brian Robiskie, Browns +2500
-- How do we know that whoever quarterbacks the Browns can get the ball into his hands enough, even if he does start opposite Braylon Edwards?
Matthew Stafford, Lions +800
-- He'll have to win the job, and the Lions will have to win some games with him. I don't know that he would take over right away.
Jason Smith, Rams +4000
-- No matter whether it's left tackle or right tackle, guys at his position have an uphill climb in winning this award.
Mike Thomas, Jaguars +2500
-- He's got talent, no doubt, but I don't like his attitude.
Patrick Turner, Dolphins +5000
-- It looks like he's moved behind fellow rookie Brian Hartline on the Dolphin depth chart.
Here are my top ten, in no particular order (okay, in order):
Chris Wells, Cardinals +400
-- Beanie has to stay healthy, but he is in an ideal position, with a championship-level team whose coach wants to start running the ball more. Wells has the size and speed to be an instant impact player.
Brandon Pettigrew, Lions +3000
-- Don't disqualify the idea that Pettigrew can make a lot of catches this year, whether it's Daunte Culpepper or Matthew Stafford throwing to him. When Calvin Johnson is double-covered (which is usually) he'll be an outlet they look to.
Jeremy Maclin, Eagles +2000
-- Playing with Donovan McNabb, he can make a lot of big plays from the wide receiver spot and can make an impact on returns as well, if he can hang on to the ball.
Knowshon Moreno, Broncos +300
-- He should be the #1 back in Denver, but he has entered a rather crowded situation. There is little doubt, however, that he can emerge as a bona fide running threat. That's what they drafted him in the first round for.
Percy Harvin, Vikings +1200
-- If Brett Favre winds up being a sharp acquisition for the Vikings, he'll be one of the main beneficiaries, because he can really run with the ball.
Hakeem Nicks, Giants +2000
-- He has great talent and play-making ability, and the Giants really need some receivers who can come to the table and do some things. It may not be difficult for him to get time in this rotation.
Donald Brown, Colts +500
-- Before all is said and done, he could be splitting reps with Joseph Addai and he could put up some numbers. Peyton Manning will get him some catches too.
Mike Wallace, Steelers +5000
-- He's got raw speed (4.28 in the 40), and has a chance to slide in as the #3 receiver for the defending world champions, who need someone to replace Nate Washington. Hey, that's a pretty good start.
Mark Sanchez , Jets +800
-- He's got a big opportunity to do something, but I'm thinking the Jets may have to make the playoffs for him to be considered. I'm also thinking they probably won't make the playoffs with him as the quarterback. Still, he's in a spotlight.
Pat White, Dolphins +3000
-- Even though I am sure he'll run the Wildcat, I am concerned that White won't get on the field enough to rack up some numbers. If he does, though, look out.
I wouldn't have minded seeing Deon Butler of Seattle on this list too. He's got a chance to be a special contributor for the Seahawks.
