NBA Parlay Pick – D-Wade and the Hot Heat vs. Mellow’s Nuggets

The Denver Nuggets (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS, 3-2 O/U) and Miami Heat (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 1-4 O/U) have both gotten their respective 2009-10 NBA campaigns off to sizzling starts but someone has to take a loss when the two square off at AmericanAirlines Arena tonight at 7:30 PM ET. I know which team that will be.

The Nuggets remained undefeated, spanking the struggling New Jersey Nets 122-94 on Wednesday and covering the NBA point spread for pro basketball bettors as a 9.5-point road favorite. The Miami Heat were handed their first loss of the season in a 93-89 loss to the revamped Washington Wizards on Wednesday, but they did manage to cover the NBA point spread as 2-point road underdogs.

Here is a look at the key trends and NBA Betting Odds for tonight’s East versus West matchup, followed by my in-depth analysis and expert NBA Picks:

• Nuggets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Nuggets are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games.
• Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Heat are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
• Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
• Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
• Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
• Nuggets are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Miami.
• Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

NBA Odds:

• Denver Nuggets +1
• Over/Under 205½

Analysis: The Miami Heat’s fine start this season is impressive, having gone a fine 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall and 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games. But I like the red-hot Denver Nuggets to cover the NBA point spread here with the outright road win NBA pro basketball bettors.

Denver has gone a blistering 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games versus a team with a winning home record and an even more incendiary 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games.

Making matters worse for Miami is the fact that they’ve gone just 1-4 ATS in their last five home games against a team with a winning road record while the Nuggets have posted an inspiring 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings against their counterparts in this series.

With Denver going 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Miami and the Over going an even better 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams, I say play the Nuggets and the Over in this NBA parlay pick BetUS pro hoops lifers.

NBA Free Picks: Nuggets +1 Point/Over 205½ Total Points