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posted November 6, 2009 at 19:00 EST in NBA Free Picks

NBA Parlay Picks – Portland Trail Blazers host San Antonio Spurs

Bookmark and Share by Eric Williams

The San Antonio Spurs (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 2-2 O/U) and the Portland Trail Blazers (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS, 1-4 O/U) may both turn out to be legitimate Western Conference title contenders at some point later on this season, but right now, they are two of the most up and down teams in all of basketball.

Both teams will be trying to pick up a win on the court and in the BetUS NBA sportsbook when they battle at the Rose Garden at 10:30 PM ET.

The Spurs have alternated wins and losses in each of their four games this season and were handed a humbling loss on Thursday, losing to the Utah Jazz 113-99 and failing to cover the NBA point spread as a pick'em while the game’s 212 combined points played Over the 197-point O/U total.

The Blazers also lost their last time out, falling to the Atlanta Hawks 97-91 on Tuesday night and failing to cover the NBA moneyline as a 7-point home favorite while the game’s final score played Under the 192-oint O/U total.

Tim Duncan led San Antonio with 15 points and 13 rebounds in their loss while LaMarcus Aldridge also recorded a double-double for the Blazers in their loss, totaling 20 points and 14 rebounds.

Here is a look at the key trends and NBA Betting Odds for this Western Conference matchup, followed by my in-depth analysis and expert NBA Picks.

  • Spurs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.
  • Spurs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
  • Trail Blazers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
  • Trail Blazers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Trail Blazers are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 vs. Western Conference.
  • Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Portland.
  • Spurs are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Spurs are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Portland.

NBA Odds

  • San Antonio Spurs +4
  • Over/Under 185

Analysis: While there is almost no reason to believe the San Antonio Spurs are going to win or even cover the spread in this contest tonight, according to most of the game’s key trends, I genuinely believe the more experienced and deeper Spurs are ‘going to handle their business’ in this one and come out victorious against the relatively young Blazers.

I know the Spurs have gone a dismal 0-4 ATS in their last four road games and 0-4 ATS in the last four games in Portland, but I think the Spurs age going to bounce back from their Thursday night loss with a vengeance as they’ve gone a solid 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games following an SU loss of more than 10 points and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following an SU loss overall.

While the Trail Blazers have gone an impressive 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following an SU loss and a bankroll-boosting 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games against Western Conference ballclubs, I like the Spurs to buck those trends and cash in for BetUS NBA sportsbook betting enthusiasts.

With these two teams combining to average 196.7 points per game this season and the Over going a consistent 4-1 in the last five contests in Portland, I say play the Over in this NBA parlay pick as well.

NBA Free Picks: Spurs +4 Points/Over 185 Total Points

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